Sonic Youth Gossip - Ned Lamont wins Dem. Primary!!

Quote:

Originally Posted by Daddylikes

YES, BUT JOE LIEBERMAN IS A DEMOCRAT!!!!! People don't vote along party lines!!!!! Even if only 15 percent of Democrats vote Lieberman in this election, you realize that the Republican candidate will win, don't you?

That's what happens when you split a vote.

Ross Perot is why Bill Clinton won with such a large majority in the 90's (Despite the fact that we had 12 years of a Republican majority in both the federal and legislative branches).

In the Ross Perot example... you have two conservative candidates. You have George Bush and Ross Perot. However, you have only one liberal candidate, Bill Clinton. So, even if 55 percent of the U.S. is registered Republican, and 45 percent of the U.S. is registered Democrat, and assuming that everyone votes along conservative/liberal lines... If 15 percent of the Republicans voted for Ross Perot...all of a sudden you have 15 percent for Perot, 40 percent for Bush and 45 percent for Clinton.

Even tho in this hypothetical example there are 10 percent more conservatives than liberals, the liberal wins the election, because the conservative vote is split.

In CT, Lieberman on the ballot (he already has twice as many signatures as he needs to get on the ballot, so face it, he's there) will split the liberal vote, giving the Repub candidate a victory.

It's simple mathematics, it's almost impossible for a party to win with a split vote on their side.

Daddylikes, your examples make sense. But this is quite an unusual case. Joe's a Dem no longer. Lieberman will split Republican's too,(intersting huh?), and his decision to run independant has already, and will continue to tick off Dems. The one thing Dems are united in is ousting Bush connections..on anything. And at this point they understand what voting for an independant will do in these extremely polarizing times.

One really has to understand the utter frustration with Bush and the current members of house and senate run by the majority R's. That's what the Lamont win means. It has fascinating ramifications. Anythng can still happen, but this is a bad sign of things to come in Nov. for Bush and R's. Tony Snow attacked Lamont already today and their strategy of labeling him and the Dems as "cut and run" is old, tired, and stupid.