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Originally Posted by !@#$%!
Rather the focus must be upon the prediction of the probability distribution of the system�s future possible states by the generation of ensembles of model solutions. Addressing adequately the statistical nature of climate is computationally intensive and requires the application of new methods of model diagnosis, but such statistical information is essential.
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This, so much.
Rather than saying 'this one thing is definitely going to happen, and it's bad', it's saying 'there's a lot of things that could happen, and some of them are bad'.
There's several things that could happen with the climate. We're just trying to work out whether it's more likely that a bad thing happens than a good thing. (Spoiler: it's probably going to be a bad thing.)